The only time the United States House of Representatives moves so quickly is when it needs to act to keep the government open, or when it declares war. This week, the House declared war on China by seeking to put TikTok out of business in the United States.
ByteDance, TikTok’s parent company, was shocked, reportedly believing that when President Joe Biden opened his TikTok account in time for the Super Bowl, the threats that had dogged the company for years were finally in abeyance.
They were wrong.
In August 2020, the then president, Donald Trump, fighting for his political life against Biden, was reeling from the COVID pandemic – which he blamed on China – and prosecuting his trade war with Beijing. He invoked emergency economic powers to issue an executive order placing sanctions on TikTok, banning the app, and demanding that China sell the company to American interests.
TikTok neutered the emergency declaration in the courts, but the issues did not go away.
A year ago, three attacks on TikTok were launched in Washington. When they assumed power in the House of Representatives, the Republicans turbocharged their hostility to China, establishing a select committee on the Chinese Communist Party. Everyone got the message. The Justice Department announced a criminal investigation into TikTok’s monitoring of US journalists. The House energy and commerce committee savaged TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew in a five-hour hearing. The committee’s Republican chair, Cathy Rodgers, said: “TikTok has repeatedly chosen the path for more control, more surveillance and more manipulation. Your platform should be banned.”
Last week, the two committees introduced their targeted legislation that required a forced sale of TikTok to American interests within six months and, if that did not occur, TikTok would be banned from the US. The energy and commerce committee, with its reputation for powerful legislation and intense partisanship, approved the bill with stunning unanimity, 50-0.
There were several other drivers of this legislation. The director of national intelligence issued a threat assessment report that China had targeted both Republican and Democratic candidates in the 2022 midterm elections.
The war in Gaza also became a factor in a strongly pro-Israel Congress. After the October 7 attacks by Hamas on Israel, many users and observers of the TikTok platform perceived that Israel was being presented very unfavourably with a significant increase in antisemitic posts. The algorithm was seen to drive pro-Palestinian videos.
TikTok fumbled its lobbying strategy. The legislation was on a super-fast track. Its counterpunch was to notify TikTok users’ phones by postcode if they lived in congressional districts of energy and commerce committee members. The tidal wave of calls infuriated the lawmakers. Not one vote was shaken loose from the bill.
TikTok’s enormous scale is, however, the key to its fightback. It does have allies.
A major investor in TikTok and heavyweight financial supporter to Republican candidates, Jeff Yass, has made known his opposition to the bill. Former Trump adviser Kellyanne Conway spoke out: “Why would the GOP wish to be seen as the party of ‘bans’ when Biden is the one banning things: gas stoves, fossil fuels, menthol cigarettes and vapes?”
Elon Musk has joined the party: “This law is not just about TikTok, it is about censorship and government control!”
The biggest surprise was the reversal, just before the full House voted on the bill, of the former president who had ordered TikTok to be outlawed. No one matches Trump in stating his interests. On his own social media platform, Truth Social, Trump was unequivocal: “If you get rid of TikTok, Facebook and Zuckerschmuck [FB founder Mark Zuckerberg] will double their business. I don’t want Facebook, who cheated in the last Election, doing better. They are a true Enemy of the People!”
The biggest issue that may ultimately see TikTok survive the maelstrom in Congress is its scale. There are 175 million TikTok users in the US. Tens of millions are younger and are immersed along with 7 million small businesses. Do lawmakers really think they can take TikTok away – without any political repercussions?
You know what happens when you take a lollipop from a child? He or she starts screaming. Take TikTok away and America’s TikTok users may start screaming – with their votes in 2024. Biden is already underwater with young voters, and he has repeatedly said he will sign this bill if it passes Congress.
A big if. There is no counterpart bill in the Senate. Several senators have raised free speech concerns – that the bill violates the First Amendment. Trump will have some sway.
But Mike Gallagher, the Republican chair of the select committee on China, had the last word in the House. This bill, he said, “forces TikTok to break up with the Chinese Communist Party.” Which is exactly what the House wants done.