Key points

• More than 20 per cent of Americans believe President Donald Trump will leave office before the 2020 US presidential election.
• Only 30 per cent believe Trump will win re-election in 2020.
• Nearly half of Americans believe there was cooperation between the Trump campaign and Russia. Of these, 94 per cent believe Trump will not get a second term.

Just days before the likely completion of Special Counsel Robert Mueller's report into Russian interference in the 2016 US election, a new United States Studies Centre-YouGov poll shows whether Australians and Americans believe there was cooperation between the Trump campaign and Russia, and whether they think US President Donald Trump will stay in office.

Dr Shaun Ratcliff, lecturer in political science at the United States Studies Centre, said the USSC-YouGov poll showed that public opinion about whether the Trump campaign had worked with agents of the Russian government to gain an advantage during the presidential election was a largely partisan affair in both Australia and the United States.

“Republicans in the United States and Coalition voters in Australia were less likely to believe the Trump campaign had worked with the Russians, while Democrats and Labor voters were generally more likely to accept this as fact," Dr Ratcliff said.

“Related to this, Democrats and to a lesser extent Labor voters were less likely to believe President Trump will make it to the next election, or if he does they overwhelmingly believe he will not win.

"It will be interesting to see if views change once Mueller finishes his investigation.”

The USSC-YouGov polled 1,000 respondents in the United States and 1,029 in Australia in late January 2019.

• View full poll results

Media enquiries

Drew Sheldrick
T 02 9114 2622
E drew.sheldrick@sydney.edu.au